Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
53rd • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mateusz Matyasik (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Henderson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Callum Goddard (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nathan Wheatley (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jamie McCabe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas McCudden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Aidan Clark (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.