FaB-Results

Katsu, the Wanderer at Battle Hardened: Edinburgh 2025

Katsu, the Wanderer

Katsu, the Wanderer

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Steven Christian
32nd • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.1
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!!
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vitalij Zeiser (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bill Stevenson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Elliott Chacksfield (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 23:77
Dorinthea Ironsong
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gavin Caldwell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Denis Gergov (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Isaac Tunstall (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Isaac Tunstall
42nd • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Watts (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Prism, Awakener of Sol
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Taylor (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Iain Brown (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brodie Smith (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Damon Elgie (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Stuart Clark (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Steven Christian (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.