Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
67 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 8-3-0
64%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.1
Surp
4.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Matthew W (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Reese Toomre (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Troy Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Lucas Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R17 CC
Round 17: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R16 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R17 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
5th • 7-3-0
30%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.1
Surp
6.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R16 CC
Round 16: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
30% (3/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
6.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R16 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
5th • 7-3-0
50%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.4
Surp
5.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Round 14: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R16 CC
Round 16: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (5/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R16 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
18th • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.1
Surp
5.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Tellez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
44th • 7-2-0
44%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
6.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cristopher Allen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Bruner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Nghia Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
6.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
31st • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.7
Surp
5.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Round 12: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R15 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
81st • 5-3-1
33%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.9
Surp
3.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zack Phillips (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edward Knight (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Draw vs Pheano Black (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Round 14: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Draw |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
22nd • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
28th • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.5
Surp
5.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Clayton Gowen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
Round 3: Win vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Derek Anderson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
Round 14: Win vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
51st • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charles Dunn (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Kershaw (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Joshua Rath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
57th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Gaudreault (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs William Bradshaw (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Quinten de Jongh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
68th • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.5
Surp
4.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zack Phillips (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs William Pistel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Aaron Grace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Quinten de Jongh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R15 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
98th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Cody Williams (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rob Catton (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuanji Li (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Tariq Patel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
86th • 4-4-1
56%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raj Parikh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Arthur Reynolds (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Draw vs Bryan Kong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Draw |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
46th • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Quinn Wongkew (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bea Budnik (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Elly Bird (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Round 13: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Pheano Black (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
59th • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Raj Giri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Quinten de Jongh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Round 12: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
111th • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hunter Platt ()
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Didier Deurloo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 12: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 13: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 15: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
101st • 3-6-0
67%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
4.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs enzo costa (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Quinn Wongkew (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zack Phillips (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mel Falcon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Round 2: Loss vs Younghyun Jeong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Kershaw (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Donghee Kim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Quinten de Jongh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raj Giri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Phil Kinney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Derek Anderson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Loss vs Cody Williams (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Troy Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Round 12: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs gabriel ebady (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
50%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul Dollé (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Round 14: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Piotr Krzempek ()
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Phil Kinney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
60%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Connor Babcock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peng Joon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Poe Cadano (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent PROUM (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pedro Ugioni (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vincent PROUM (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Raj Parikh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Kershaw (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Win vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs JP Coleman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs James Clark (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Annabelle McQuade (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Dertoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Annabelle McQuade (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vincent PROUM (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Arjun Garg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Illuvial Arnett (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Addington (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shane Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mara Faris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Warburton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Federico Sirri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Raj Giri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Hebert (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Round 5: Loss vs Felipe Loyola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rogue Theory (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Bray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pedro Ugioni (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chad Emerick (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pheano Black (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jodey Burney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick Pearce (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nick Pearce (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Win vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick McGregor (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Craig Krempels (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pheano Black (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Connor Babcock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mário Abrantes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Warburton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sunny Yang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Piotr Chudobinski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Pearlman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sadat Minick (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Annabelle McQuade (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None ()
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | 50% | Win | |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dan Groseclose (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joseph Freeh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Round 4: Win vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs enzo costa (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arthur Reynolds (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Loss vs Randy Davis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tho Bui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
20%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pheano Black (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Miguel Rubio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luis Cisneros (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sunny Yang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mel Falcon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raj Giri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.