Ira, Scarlet Revenger
3 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
47th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Poe Cadano (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Lewis (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 65:35
Round 12: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
20:80
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80
R15
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R15 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
49th • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Derek Anderson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jack Mountford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
0%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Becker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Bray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Rogue Theory (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.