Ira, Scarlet Revenger at World Championship: Philadelphia

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller

47th • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.3

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Poe Cadano (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

90:10

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 91:9

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Lewis (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

90:10

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 91:9

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

20:80

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80

R15

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.38
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	90%	Win	✓	0.09	0.05
R4	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	90%	Win	✓	0.09	0.08
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.33
R14	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R15	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tomasz Żelazko

49th • 5-4-0

33%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.9

Surp

5.6

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Derek Anderson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

25:75

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jack Mountford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.19
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.75
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.51
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.22
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Win	✗	0.75	2.89
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R15	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Connor Babcock

dropped • 3-2-0

20%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.5

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Becker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Bray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rogue Theory (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.68
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.01
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.