World Championship: Philadelphia 2025 - Kano, Dracai of Aether (CC)

Kano, Dracai of Aether

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Noah Hicks

41st • 7-2-0

78%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

3.8

Surp

5.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs James Clark (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Samuel Braben (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs JP Coleman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

R15

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.08
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.21
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.31
R5	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R13	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.34
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.09
R15	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Corwin Benton

82nd • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.8

Surp

2.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Mihalas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Easton Douglas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Patrick McGregor (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.08
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.35
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.39
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.42
R13	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Troy Benton

103rd • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Kissel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Vore (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Vincent PROUM (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

15:85

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86

15:85

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.15
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.18
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.23
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.52
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.94
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R14	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R15	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-

Zak Miller

dropped • 4-1-0

80%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs JP Coleman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Mihalas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gabe Sher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.19
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.28
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.74
R5	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Alan Rogers

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Bruner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.14
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.32
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.56
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

James Miller

dropped • 3-2-0

20%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.27
R2	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.99
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.93

Nicholas Mihalas

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

15:85

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.28
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-

Shlomo Gdalevich

dropped • 0-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chris Tellez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.