World Championship: Philadelphia 2025 - Cindra, Dracai of Retribution (CC)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

87 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michael Jaszczur

1st • 10-3-0

92%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

6.0

Surp

7.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jack Mountford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R16 CC

Round 16: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R17 CC

Round 17: Win vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R18 CC

Round 18: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R18 CC

Round 18: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

92% (12/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

7.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.05
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.15
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.15
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.75
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.17
R14	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.82
R15	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.94
R16	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.22
R17	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.06
R18	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R18	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.89

Sean Knowelden

10th • 7-2-0

89%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.3

Surp

4.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Isaac Murray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Lucas Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.07
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.18
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.61
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.93
R14	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.26
R15	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Thomas Bailey Galbraith

11th • 7-2-0

89%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shane Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alex Becker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Cody Williams (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.18
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.93
R14	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.54
R15	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Filip Mikołajczyk

16th • 7-2-0

78%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

5.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 岡西達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Pheano Black (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.07
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.14
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.35
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.86
R13	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R14	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	2.02
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.07

Timothy Teo

75th • 7-2-0

44%

Meta

+2.7

Perf

4.3

Surp

6.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Dertoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Troy Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Vincent PROUM (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Felipe Loyola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

6.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.27
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.41
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.36
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.36
R12	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.61	2.12
R15	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.42

Nicholas Tran

35th • 6-2-1

78%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.8

Surp

5.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Aaron Boyhan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs nicolas Jamoulle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.28
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Draw	✓	0.64	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.72
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Brodie Spurlock

14th • 6-3-0

67%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.5

Surp

4.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nathan Youngblut (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bun Ar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.09
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.72
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.97
R14	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.07

Pei-Tung Liao

23rd • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ryan Bernardo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Rich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.07
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.52
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.56
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.93
R14	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R15	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

William Pistel

36th • 6-3-0

44%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

4.3

Surp

5.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Edison Yue (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Felipe Loyola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dallin Wallenda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Samuel Braben (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Patrick McGregor (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.52
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.68
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.08
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Yuki Lee Bender

54th • 6-3-0

67%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

4.4

Surp

4.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bryan Kong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.16
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.14
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

CYK Lionel

61st • 6-3-0

67%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.2

Surp

5.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mel Falcon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Justin Addington (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.09
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.36
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.41
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.12
R14	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.90
R15	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Naib Mobassir

62nd • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sadat Minick (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nova Chan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Colin Eriksen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.18
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.46
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.36
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.07

Peter Buddensiek

76th • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.5

Surp

5.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jesus Montijo ()

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Easton Douglas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.68
R12	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.36
R15	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.35

Vincent PROUM

99th • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Troy Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Reese Toomre (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Shane Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Easton Douglas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.18
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.36
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.45
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.54
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Jin Han Toh

100th • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

5.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Shane Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs David Lewis (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.08
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.26
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.17
R14	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	2.02
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Tariq Patel

105th • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.8

Surp

3.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Quinten de Jongh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jack Raven (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Didier Deurloo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.14
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.42
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.17
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Paul van Gijssel

27th • 5-4-0

78%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tho Bui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs gabriel ebady (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Elly Bird (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Annabelle McQuade (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.18
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.36
R12	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Dennis Zhang

42nd • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.2

Surp

4.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Carter Hulse (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.26
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.29
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.93
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67

Daniele Frattarelli

50th • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Silas Fiefhaus (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Phillip Spader (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.63
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.93
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gordon Koh Koh

65th • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Bun Ar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.54
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R14	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.07

Jacob Baugh

73rd • 5-4-0

78%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.07
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R14	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.26
R15	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.22

Nghia Tran

87th • 5-4-0

78%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Isaac Murray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Samuel Braben (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.09
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.18
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.36
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.45
R12	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R13	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Gary Gold

96th • 5-4-0

78%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chad Emerick (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Kissel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sebastián Llano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Derek Anderson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Reynolds (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.14
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.42
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R15	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.45

Arthur Reynolds

104th • 5-4-0

89%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Gary Gold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Shane Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.07
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.18
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R13	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.43
R14	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R15	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Easton Douglas

108th • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs None ()

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Vincent PROUM (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.14
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.36
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R12	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.26
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Philip van Donselaar

52nd • 4-5-0

56%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joey Jiik ()

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Colin Eriksen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Peng Joon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.14
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.43
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R14	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.90
R15	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Arthur Trehet

58th • 4-5-0

33%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.4

Surp

4.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Kershaw (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Patrick McGregor (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Troy Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs William Pistel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.18
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.52
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.98
R14	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.82
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michael Hamilton

66th • 4-5-0

78%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Reynolds (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs JP Coleman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.27
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.08
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.07

Connar Bodoh

79th • 4-5-0

56%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

4.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Piotr Chudobinski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.09
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.29
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.58
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R14	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R15	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Francesco Giorgio

83rd • 4-5-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tho Bui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Aaron Grace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Patrick McGregor (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Elly Bird (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.52
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R15	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Bastien LAVIGNON

106th • 4-5-0

89%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

4.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nick Butcher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Dertoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Isaac Murray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Gary White (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.14
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.45
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R14	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.26
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yoshiaki Okamoto

107th • 4-5-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Steven Caraher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Gary Gold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Tariq Patel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Felipe Loyola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.45
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Brian Lorenz

77th • 3-6-0

89%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

4.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chris Brummett (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs William Pistel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tom Escoffier

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bun Ar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Arthur Reynolds (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chad Emerick (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.10
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.53
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R13	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R14	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Rafał Liwerski

dropped • 3-5-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.46
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.61
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.49
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Evan Tanguy

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pheano Black (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nick Butcher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.11
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.54
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.68
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mário Abrantes

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Paul Dollé (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mikael Lundberg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Felipe Loyola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.19
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Kenji Enomoto

dropped • 4-1-0

80%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Becker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Edison Yue (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Robert Szary (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.29
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.63
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

Anthony Pham

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Bernardo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Bartosz Ziemba

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mara Faris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.25
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.33
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.39
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Blake Godenzi

dropped • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs None ()

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.32
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.17

Daniel Correas

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jacob Kissel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.16
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.64

Hugo Platret

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Felipe Loyola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gary White (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.55
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.49
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Isaak Krut

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs enzo costa (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Rob Catton (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.65
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

James Warburton

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Angove (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Hebert (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs gabriel ebady (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.16
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.65
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

Jimmy Nguyen

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Randy Davis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.16
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.32
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.17
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kyle James

dropped • 3-2-0

20%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs William Bradshaw (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.52
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.73
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.96
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Liam Donnelly

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Chris Brummett (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.16
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.76
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Lucas Ward

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Hebert (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.23
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.49
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.51
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michel Corvino

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Steffen Bergo Jenssen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Phil Kinney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Bernardo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Bray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.16
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

Raj Giri

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Roger Bodee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs William Pearlman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs David Bruner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.32
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.49
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

Sunny Yang

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sadat Minick (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jack Raven (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.64

Theodore Tan

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joshua Borger (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.35
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.59
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.51
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Wyatt Goehring

dropped • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Clayton Gowen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Arjun Garg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Younghyun Jeong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.24
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.65
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.25

Abigail Welday

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs James Clark (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jodey Burney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.39
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.51
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Adrienne Morales

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.78
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.04
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Bun Ar

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs William Bradshaw (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Angove (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.24
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.49
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chris Brummett

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.36
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chu Heng Eng

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shlomo Gdalevich (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.82
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.65
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Huang

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs enzo costa (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.49
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Edison Yue

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs William Pistel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Justin Addington (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.49
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.44
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

JONATHAN HENLEY

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Mihalas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jack Raven

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Carter Hulse (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.24
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.64

Mikael Lundberg

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs James Clark (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.33
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.59
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Ralph Abou Hala

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nova Chan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.29
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.49
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Shawn Dhaliwal

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cody Williams (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.26
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

Soya Okuda

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.49
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Tho Bui

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gustavo Caperan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.65
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

Yasunari Sakuma

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shlomo Gdalevich (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.27
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.49
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Zack Phillips

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.58
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.49
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

DYLAN MANGINI

dropped • 1-3-1

40%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Justin Gottlieb (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.49
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Draw	✓	0.64	-

Bernardo Cardoso

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs James Clark (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Miguel Rubio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.24
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Bird Cabrera

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Adrienne Morales (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Poe Cadano (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chris Tellez

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Shlomo Gdalevich (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.37

Dan Groseclose

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Justin Gottlieb (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.65
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Luis Cisneros

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

Manuel Curiel

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pedro Ugioni (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew W (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Matthias Verbeeck

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alon Edelman (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.26
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Mercy Bickell

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Manuel Curiel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.65
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Nathaniel Lansangan

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vincent PROUM (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Quinten de Jongh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Annabelle McQuade (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs JP Coleman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.49
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Nick Pearce

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.32
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Phillip Spader

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Patrick McGregor (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Lee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Federico Sirri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.50
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Ryan Bernardo

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Evan Bridges ()

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Sadat Minick

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.51
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Stefan Karlsson

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Silas Fiefhaus (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Steven Caraher

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs William Pearlman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.16
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Silas Fiefhaus

dropped • 0-5-0

80%

Meta

-2.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rob Catton (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.