Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Rodgers (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.