Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at World Championship: Philadelphia 2025
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
32 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 10-3-0
62%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.9
Surp
8.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Addington (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 74:26
Round 3: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robert Szary (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Cody Williams (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R16 CC
Round 16: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 17: Win vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 18: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R18 CC
Round 18: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
8.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R16 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R17 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R18 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R18 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
5th • 8-2-0
60%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
4.7
Surp
5.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Poe Cadano (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Jack Mountford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Tariq Patel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 14: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
25:75
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R15 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R16 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
17th • 8-1-0
78%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
5.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Younghyun Jeong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
25th • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
Round 5: Win vs Phil Kinney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 14: Win vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
48th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Silas Fiefhaus (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joao Morato (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gabe Sher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 13: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 14: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
20:80
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R15 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
55th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
5.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs JP Coleman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mel Falcon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Round 13: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
72nd • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.3
Surp
5.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Bray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 14: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 15: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
71st • 5-2-2
22%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.6
Surp
5.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Nick Pearce (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Bryce Stroyek (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
Round 3: Win vs Austin Redington (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Raj Giri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Nicholas Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 14: Win vs Joshua Rath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Draw |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Draw |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
38th • 5-3-1
78%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joe Santianna (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nova Chan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Draw vs Tigran Grigorian (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Draw |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
26th • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 12: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
85th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Borger (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vladislovas Kofyrinas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 70:30
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Felipe Loyola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
67th • 4-5-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Abigail Welday (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Arjun Garg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
78th • 4-5-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kyle James (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joe Santianna (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Felipe Loyola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Pheano Black (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
88th • 3-6-0
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Elly Bird (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 39:61
Round 14: Win vs Gary Gold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Michael Dalton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 12: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Draw |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nikola Kramarić (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Dertoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dallin Wallenda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vladislovas Kofyrinas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arjun Garg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Boyhan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Miguel Rubio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Win vs Quinn Wongkew (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Gaudreault (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Joao Morato (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs Tho Bui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Craig Krempels (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Troy Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gary Gold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew W (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastián Llano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Quinten de Jongh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Manuel Curiel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dallin Wallenda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Loss vs Cody Williams (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Reynolds (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Win vs Clayton Gowen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Steven Caraher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-1
60%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Loss vs Paul Dollé (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vincent Bouyer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs DYLAN MANGINI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Draw |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jack Raven (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raj Parikh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Steffen Bergo Jenssen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Carter Hulse (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sadat Minick (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-5-0
80%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mariano Rivero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.