Arakni, Huntsman
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
91st • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Dollé (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Rodgers (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
Round 5: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Edward Knight (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Lee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 85:15
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gary White (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elly Bird (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oscar Vargas ()
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Edison Yue (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Piotr Chudobinski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Freeh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Babcock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.