Arakni, Huntsman at World Championship: Philadelphia 2025
Arakni, Huntsman
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
91st • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Dollé (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Rodgers (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
Round 5: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Edward Knight (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
60%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Lee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gary White (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elly Bird (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oscar Vargas ()
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 15:85
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Edison Yue (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Piotr Chudobinski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Freeh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 60:40
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Babcock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.