Jarl Vetreiði
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
97th • 6-2-1
56%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
6.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 12: Win vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 13: Win vs Gary White (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Draw vs Arjun Garg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Arthur Reynolds (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
6.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Draw |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
84th • 4-5-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Rodgers (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bea Budnik (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs William Pearlman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastián Llano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Edison Yue (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robert Szary (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.