Bravo, Showstopper at World Championship: Philadelphia 2025
Bravo, Showstopper
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.