Dorinthea Ironsong
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
39th • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
5.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Pham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bea Budnik (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Dash I/O) - Expected: 57:43
Round 12: Win vs William Pearlman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
80:20
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
24th • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
4.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuanji Li (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pedro Ugioni (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 13: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
15:85
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bun Ar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jodey Burney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle James (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68
Round 3: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.