Dash I/O at World Championship: Philadelphia 2025
Dash I/O
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 9-0-0
78%
Meta
+3.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
6.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Nghia Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Robert Szary (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
6.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
33rd • 8-1-0
67%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
5.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vincent Bouyer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Noah Hicks (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
40th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
5.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Rogue Theory (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Robert Szary (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 60:40
Round 15: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fernando Alcantara Sarmiento (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cody Williams (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steven Caraher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alvaro Toledano Benito (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Randy Davis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gustavo Caperan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nick Pearce (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Craig Krempels (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Pham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isaak Krut (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Abigail Welday (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Piotr Chudobinski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Borger (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Julian Sniffen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38
Round 2: Win vs Donghee Kim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gary White (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Federico Sirri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastián Llano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Silas Fiefhaus (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vincent Bouyer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gui Cohen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Pearlman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kent Summerour (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Gary Gold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Kissel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Borger (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fernando Alcantara Sarmiento (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Loss vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Piotr Chudobinski (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
1st • 3-1-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
13.0
Diff
50:50
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R17 CC
Round 17: Win vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R18 CC
Round 18: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R18 CC
Round 18: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
13.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R16 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R17 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R18 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R18 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Bruner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.