Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
19th • 8-1-0
78%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
7.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shlomo Gdalevich (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Phillip Spader (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Connor Babcock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Lucas Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
7.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
34th • 8-1-0
44%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
4.7
Surp
5.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Elly Bird (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Round 14: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
37th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.8
Surp
4.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Randy Davis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nghia Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
56th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Hebert (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Gottlieb (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joris Verhelst (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mikael Lundberg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Redington (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrienne Morales (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Gottlieb (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gary White (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jakub Nowicki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Warburton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 82:18
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bun Ar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pedro Ugioni (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nick Pearce (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Miguel Rubio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 조 윤재 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jodey Burney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tho Bui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Raj Parikh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-5-0
40%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rogue Theory (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew W (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.