Fai, Rising Rebellion at World Championship: Philadelphia 2025
Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
60th • 7-2-0
89%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Rodgers (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Rath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
R15
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.