Fai, Rising Rebellion at World Championship: Philadelphia 2025
Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
60th • 7-2-0
44%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
4.5
Surp
4.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Rodgers (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Rath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.