Kassai of the Golden Sand at World Championship: Philadelphia 2025
Kassai of the Golden Sand
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
45th • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.5
Surp
7.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryan Kong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Joshua Rath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 14: Win vs Samuel Braben (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 15: Win vs Robert Szary (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
7.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
29th • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
5.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phillip Spader (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Round 5: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs William Pistel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
30th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mikael Lundberg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Huang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
93rd • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Elly Bird (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Robert Szary (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
Round 15: Win vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
109th • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Eric Gaudreault (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Majin Bae (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mel Falcon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
R15
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs None ()
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Troy Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Boyhan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carter Hulse (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nova Chan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charles Dunn (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Win vs Joao Morato (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Craig Krempels (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Win vs Edward Knight (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rob Catton (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Edward Knight (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vladislovas Kofyrinas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle James (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chris Tellez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Win vs Eric Gaudreault (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kent Summerour (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Bruner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rob Catton (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Phillip Spader (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Bray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Round 5: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrienne Morales (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shlomo Gdalevich (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Lewis (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adrienne Morales (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Draw |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.