FaB-Results

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat at World Championship: Philadelphia 2025

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nikola Kramarić
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
3.2
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Jarl Vetreiði
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Randy Davis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
David Lewis
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
!
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Grace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lorenzo Bonaga (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79
Jose Luis Saenz Soria
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!!
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Brummett (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nick Butcher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.