Arakni, Marionette
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 8-1-0
67%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
4.6
Surp
6.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William Pistel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Cody Williams (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
6.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
43rd • 8-1-0
89%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
6.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Warburton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Elly Bird (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
6.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
13th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steven Caraher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Cody Williams (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
32nd • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chad Emerick (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs William Pearlman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
69th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.7
Surp
6.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 15: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
6.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
64th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Win vs Donghee Kim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs David Lewis (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steffen Bergo Jenssen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rogue Theory (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nikola Kramarić (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shane Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Becker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vincent Bouyer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dallin Wallenda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kent Summerour (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Rodgers (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 원률 신 ()
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Pistel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
60%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alon Edelman (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gustavo Caperan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs enzo costa (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.