FaB-Results

Arakni, Marionette at World Championship: Philadelphia 2025

Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

16 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Tommaso Viscido
9th • 8-1-0
67%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
4.4
Surp
6.5
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 70:30
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William Pistel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
Arakni, Huntsman
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Cody Williams (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Ryan Rich
43rd • 8-1-0
89%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
4.0
Surp
6.4
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Warburton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Puffin, Hightail
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joris Verhelst (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28
Kassai of the Golden Sand
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Kano, Dracai of Aether
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Fai, Rising Rebellion
R15
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Elly Bird (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
GAICHI YAMADA
13th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steven Caraher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Kassai of the Golden Sand
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
95:5
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 93:7
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Cody Williams (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Jacob Clements
32nd • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.9
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chad Emerick (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs William Pearlman (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Thomas Battaglia
69th • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.9
Surp
6.9
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Dash I/O
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Justin Irby
64th • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Donghee Kim (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Jarl Vetreiði
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Kano, Dracai of Aether
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Aaron Grace
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
!
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Lewis (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Jarl Vetreiði
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ignacio Rodríguez Villasuso (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steffen Bergo Jenssen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, Huntsman
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rogue Theory (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Gui Cohen
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
Dash I/O
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nikola Kramarić (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shane Martin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Patrick Poe Cadano
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Becker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Daniel Rutkowski
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Jarl Vetreiði
!
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Mariano Rivero
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Taotao Chu
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
!!
95:5
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 93:7, favorite upset
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vincent Bouyer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dallin Wallenda (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Ville Teräväinen
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Prism, Awakener of Sol
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Lau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 49:51
Dash I/O
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kent Summerour (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Arakni, Huntsman
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Rodgers (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Arakni, Huntsman
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
Dallin Wallenda
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 원률 신 ()
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Pistel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Raj Parikh
dropped • 0-5-0
20%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alon Edelman (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 33:67
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gustavo Caperan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Michael Rutkowski
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs enzo costa (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.