World Championship: Philadelphia 2025 - Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty (CC)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Darvydas Čepukaitis

15th • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Dertoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 78:22

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cristopher Allen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37

85:15

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Younghyun Jeong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 84:16

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mário Abrantes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

20:80

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

85:15

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 86:14

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.08
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.22
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.11
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.39
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R13	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.11
R15	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.36

Felipe Loyola

95th • 5-4-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hugo Platret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs William Pistel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Mário Abrantes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

35:65

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.08
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.24
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Win	✗	0.80	1.31
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.95
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R14	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R15	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.18

Filippo Barbani

dropped • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Roger Bodee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Easton Douglas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Win	✗	0.80	0.47
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.28
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

조 윤재

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Brendan Patrick ()

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Connor Babcock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Steffen Bergo Jenssen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.90
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Adam Kershaw

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Robert Szary (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.14
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

Marc Pearce

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Borger (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs None ()

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R5	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.