Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at Calling: Bologna 2025
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
27 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 12-3-0
80%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vasil Boev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Linn (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maximilian Schmidt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 6: Win vs Szabolcs Egri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Roman Legíň (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs George Rodger (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Marko Leben (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
80% (12/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.6 Wins (8.4 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
5th • 10-3-0
62%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raffaele Verdiani (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan YUSTE (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lubos Vanicek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alessandro Bracci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tommaso Fabbri (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
Round 12: Win vs Federico Lami (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
30th • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Holden (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Round 2: Win vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Flavio Caoduro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Niedzielec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Samuel Mudry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
33rd • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Harle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Diego Giacca (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 68:32
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Felix Krisch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
43rd • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florian Grabenstein (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michal Cwik (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Win vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs John Kitsos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Diego Giacca (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Gary White (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
51st • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.6
Surp
2.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pietro Motta (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Grégory Lefebvre (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Round 4: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marco Casadio (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Szabolcs Egri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
63rd • 6-6-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
5.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gabriele Panichi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Luckey (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 6: Win vs Erik Skinstad (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Round 8: Loss vs Francesco Motta (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ferdinand Wenke (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
66th • 6-6-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
6.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ferdinand Wenke (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
Round 4: Loss vs Diego Giacca (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marco Nogarole (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Michael Feng (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Harle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs John Kitsos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs None ()
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (6.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | 50% | Win | |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniele Bigagli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Erik Skinstad (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Adriano Izzi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Davide Ierardi (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jari Vincke (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Heibrok (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pierantonio Ostuni (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs piero scheriani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Freddy Friedrich (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs piero scheriani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Clements (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
Round 6: Win vs KONSTANTINOS STERGIOU (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tiziano Suran (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs riccardo battaglia (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stefano Galli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emanuele Zanella (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adrien Krifa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Flavio Caoduro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alessandro Sgura (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastiano Zagatti (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jaka Burnik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Steffen Bauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24
Round 7: Win vs Matteo Frescucci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Loss vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Adrien Druart (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Simone Pirota (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Win vs Piergiorgio Villani (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jan-Hendrik Brinkforth (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gianluca Razza (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Björn DHOOGHE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mathias W (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Roy Sammour (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Francesco Zampieri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrea Caregnato (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Julian Cappallo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Giuseppe Cervone (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Marko Leben (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Francesco Buoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matteo Frescucci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tim Heibrok (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Roberto Andreocci (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Round 3: Loss vs Erik Baalhuis (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tore Eskeland (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Steiger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Win vs Valerio Colonna (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Erik Skinstad (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michele Maietta (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Sommer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Roberto Andreocci (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michał Biereg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marcello Mutalipassi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gary White (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Léo Masson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andreas Capsalis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gaia Bormida (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Latino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Liam Holden (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Win vs Nikolas Koutounidis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Win vs Adam Tuček (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Federico Sirri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jari Vincke (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lorenzo Miele (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Morris Prem (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marcello Mutalipassi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Viet Pham (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Loss vs George Chew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marco Nogarole (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Giacomo Mosca (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs filippo pirazzoli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Piergiorgio Villani (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nico Schleier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michał Biereg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maniša Njegomir (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None ()
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.