Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
27th • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.1
Surp
4.6
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wojciech Arendt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs George Melissakis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Plamen Kutinchev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 7: Win vs Giacomo Mosca (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tiziano Suran (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Roy Sammour (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
Round 10: Win vs Savinien Castel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 20% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Florian Grabenstein (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Žan Baumgartner (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gregory Patellis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
Round 5: Loss vs Maurice Hostettler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Paul Crame (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arianna Rinaldi (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 34:66
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Theofilos Papadopoulos (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Li (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pierantonio Ostuni (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Angelo Zaccardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
3.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paweł Romanowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Valerio Colonna (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 22:78
Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Ziegler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Iason Kouvakas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Duccio Capanni (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jaka Burnik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Federico Sirri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcin Chorzepa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Edoardo Galli (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Freddy Friedrich (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.