Azalea, Ace in the Hole at Calling: Bologna 2025
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
37 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 11-3-0
43%
Meta
+4.7
Perf
7.0
Surp
5.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Walter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Igor Makarev (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Li (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Marko Leben (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Federico Lami (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
43% (6/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
7.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
48th • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tiziano Suran (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Charlie Fahey (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gary White (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Samuel Mudry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
61st • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stephen Berlyant (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mert Gezgin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Erik Skinstad (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
Round 5: Win vs Leoluca Colletti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Xavier Mudry (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Daniele Bigagli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Alessandro Brogi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs John Kitsos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 6-5-0
45%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.5
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luis Toeffels (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Wachouschek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Steiger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Win vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Szabolcs Egri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-6-0
55%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
5.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tore Eskeland (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tommaso Fabbri (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 6: Win vs Diego Paoletti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brent Van de Staey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 39:61
Round 9: Loss vs Mert Gezgin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Diego Giacca (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Alessandro Brogi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Davide Brigida (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emanuele Zanella (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Noah Cagle (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maniša Njegomir (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs András Kovács (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Round 7: Win vs Chang Li (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Brown (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gaia Bormida (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Smith (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs "Lello" Alessandro Stefanelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gaia Bormida (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emanuele Zanella (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs George Jones (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Leoluca Colletti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 5: Win vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Walter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Hauck (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Gints Dreimanis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marco Casadio (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
Round 5: Win vs Paweł Romanowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michał Rzepczyński (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Collett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs Brian Zambelli Tello (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nikos Evgenidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Round 6: Win vs Viet Pham (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tiziano Biagetti (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alessandro Segradin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrik Koller (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
Round 6: Win vs Paweł Romanowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs John Kitsos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ferdinand Wenke (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs James Brookes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brian Fusciani (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Erik Baalhuis (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nikos Tavoulareas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adrien Krifa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leoluca Colletti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pierfrancesco Di Giuseppe (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gabriele Giacomelli (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marc Germond (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrea Caregnato (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pierfrancesco Di Giuseppe (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tiziano Biagetti (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Theofrastos Matakoulias (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs KONSTANTINOS STERGIOU (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Francesco Fiumanò (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Plamen Kutinchev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Milaneschi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Luckey (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniele Bigagli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Kondov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Duccio Capanni (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Iacopo Lau (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicolò Valenzano (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lewis Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jan-Hendrik Brinkforth (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gaia Bormida (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nikos Tavoulareas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Valentino Odorjan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stefano tosoni (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alberto Di Blasi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jan-Hendrik Brinkforth (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Linn (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs "Lello" Alessandro Stefanelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Davide Ricci (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Piergiorgio Villani (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Federico Sirri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emanuele Zanella (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Guillermo Revilla (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Arianna Rinaldi (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matteo Brunori (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Tuček (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tilen Blazinšek (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Massimiliano Messina (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Linn (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrea Tosi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Simone Pirota (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Isidoros Popovits (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs piero scheriani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Valentino Odorjan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alessandro Sgura (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Li (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matteo Brunori (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michele Maietta (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
Round 5: Loss vs Xavier Mudry (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Boris Melnykov (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gianluca Razza (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Paolo D’Innocenzo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jakub Kulpinski (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Diego Giacca (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mathias W (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lewis Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Flavio Dollani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lachlan Maddaford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christos Kontzoglou (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Iacopo Lau (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christos Kontzoglou (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Roy Sammour (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Isidoros Popovits (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stefano tosoni (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ivaylo Ivanov (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ismael Boulbaz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Karanjeet Singh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jorge Jimenez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steffen Bauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicolas Ziegler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nikos Tavoulareas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adrian Słowiński (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Valerio Colonna (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan YUSTE (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Giorgos Dailianis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Martin Holík (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Roberto Andreocci (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs George Jones (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ismael Boulbaz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Plamen Kutinchev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Björn DHOOGHE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs riccardo battaglia (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Viktor Ivanov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tore Eskeland (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marco Nogarole (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tiziano Biagetti (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gaia Bormida (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alberto Di Blasi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.