Dorinthea Ironsong
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Flavio Caoduro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lachlan Maddaford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gabriele Panichi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bottino Valerio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Roberto Andreocci (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Márton Kovács (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simone Sieli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Flavio Dollani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isidoros Popovits (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Loss vs Alessandro Sgura (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michał Rzepczyński (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs David Bettoli (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maurice Hostettler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Simone Quartieri (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Xavier Mudry (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gabriele Panichi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Samuel Mudry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-1
67%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simone Rainaldi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Miele (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Pierre-Yves Garcia (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Jakub Kulpinski (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Stephen Berlyant (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Draw |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
83%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Victor Sanchez (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Caregnato (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gabriele Giacomelli (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.