Fang, Dracai of Blades
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.1
Surp
4.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nikolas Koutounidis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Piergiorgio Villani (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Noah Cagle (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Li (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Lubos Vanicek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Florian Schmidt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pierfrancesco Di Giuseppe (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Duccio Capanni (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Niedzielec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tilen Blazinšek (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 86:14
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrea Pizzetti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Flavio Dollani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Giorgos Dailianis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Win vs Iacopo Lau (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michał Zalejski (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alessandro Sgura (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ian Zhang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 86:14
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 85% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-1
43%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nico Schleier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrian Słowiński (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vasil Boev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs None ()
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Jakub Kulpinski (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Davide Brigida (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | 50% | Win | |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Draw |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs James Thourgood (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs George Melissakis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christos Kontzoglou (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Valentino Odorjan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marek Fila (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Francesco Motta (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Gómez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Guillermo Revilla (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alessandro Berganton (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Cagle (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.1
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adrien Druart (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 86:14
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Erik Skinstad (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mert Gezgin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Prull (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathanaël frederic (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 85% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lachlan Maddaford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Demetrio Bori (Dash I/O) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.