Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
62nd • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Win vs Michał Zalejski (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Gómez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Theofrastos Matakoulias (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Erik Skinstad (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tiziano Suran (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Diego Giacca (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matteo Frescucci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Davide Ierardi (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wojciech Arendt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Steiger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Round 6: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Edoardo Galli (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lorenzo Miele (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bottino Valerio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paolo D’Innocenzo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Zugna (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Igor Makarev (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Florian Schmidt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Morris Prem (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs KONSTANTINOS STERGIOU (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stefano Galli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Angelo Zaccardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Loss vs Marco Nogarole (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Romain TRAVERSAZ (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Victor Sanchez (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Brown (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Valentino Odorjan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Crame (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Léo Masson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jan-Hendrik Brinkforth (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Mudry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.