Kano, Dracai of Aether at Calling: Bologna 2025
Kano, Dracai of Aether
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
31st • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michal Cwik (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stephen Berlyant (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonny Chapman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Steffen Bauer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs piero scheriani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs George Rodger (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
32nd • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Léo Masson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Adriano Izzi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gary White (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Correas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tommaso Fabbri (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Round 8: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Daniel Li (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Mert Gezgin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
15:85
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
41st • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Léo Masson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Win vs Danny Halstad (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tiziano Biagetti (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christian Hauck (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Žan Baumgartner (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Szabolcs Egri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
85:15
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Liam Holden (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 85:15
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tommaso Fabbri (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
52nd • 7-5-0
92%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Giacomo Mosca (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pierantonio Ostuni (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrea Tosi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Szabolcs Egri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Eugenio Papavero Crusca (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Tommaso Fabbri (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
85:15
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs John Kitsos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (7.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-5-0
70%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adriano Izzi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kugane Gaming (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simone Rainaldi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christos Kontzoglou (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
Round 9: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Szabolcs Egri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lewis Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Giannis Koumidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gilles Molina (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tommaso Fabbri (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simone Pirota (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gary White (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alessandro Tassini (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Roy Sammour (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luis Toeffels (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alessandro Berganton (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs George Jones (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Plamen Kutinchev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kacper Mocek (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Łukasz Gryziewicz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mert Gezgin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Julian Cappallo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 85:15
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Maniša Njegomir (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Demetrio Bori (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs Paweł Romanowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs riccardo battaglia (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrea Pizzetti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Roy Sammour (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Samuel Mudry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Mudry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pierantonio Ostuni (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 39:61
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Luckey (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.