Jarl Vetreiði
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
25th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marek Luczak (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tiziano Suran (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs Igor Makarev (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Wachouschek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Julian Cappallo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andreas Capsalis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Gary White (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Finn Baird (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adriano Izzi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michał Rzepczyński (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nathanaël frederic (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Loss vs Federico Lami (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gregory Patellis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simone Rainaldi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 43:57
Round 7: Win vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-1
17%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Mauro Annetta (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Giacomo Mosca (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Stefano Galli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alessandro Berganton (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
dropped • 0-1-2
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Alessio Viola (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Fichtner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lewis Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-1
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Sebastian Sommer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Draw |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.