Kassai of the Golden Sand at Calling: Bologna 2025
Kassai of the Golden Sand
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
34th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Francesco Fiumanò (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Loss vs Szabolcs Egri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Diego Paoletti (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Correas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Round 10: Loss vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Francesco Motta (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 6-5-0
82%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Clements (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Giuseppe Cervone (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Iason Kouvakas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Takis Pavlou (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31
Round 8: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Francesco Motta (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maximilian Schmidt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Roberto Andreocci (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 83:17
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Pizzetti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Victor Lenoble (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Florian Schmidt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ian Zhang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Federico Sirri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sotiris Konstantelos (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Łukasz Gryziewicz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Plamen Kutinchev (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs George Chew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Simone Pirota (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Diego Giacca (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Victor Lenoble (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrycjusz Janas (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Florian Traversaz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Simone Pagani (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Wojciech Arendt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Federico Sirri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jorge Jimenez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Igor Makarev (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs piero scheriani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Albani (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Arianna Rinaldi (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alessandro Berganton (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Diogo Vala (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 85% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Savinien Castel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Milaneschi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mathias W (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jakub Mares (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Wachouschek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Andrea Albani (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Morris Prem (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matteo Lista (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Josef Doležal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
Round 2: Loss vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Gints Dreimanis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Francesco Motta (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simone Pirota (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Alessio Viola (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luis Toeffels (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simone Pirota (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.