Verdance, Thorn of the Rose at Calling: Bologna 2025
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
25 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
35th • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Iason Kouvakas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66
Round 4: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Liam Holden (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Win vs Jakub Kouřil (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs piero scheriani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Roy Sammour (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
40th • 8-4-0
33%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexandros Argyriou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Charlie Fahey (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Piero Carini (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matteo Brunori (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Francesco Buoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marco Casadio (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Daniel Correas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gints Dreimanis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Felix Krisch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
50th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Karanjeet Singh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Goran Lovric (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alessandro Segradin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lachlan Maddaford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Szabolcs Egri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrea Milaneschi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 80:20
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76
Round 9: Win vs Maniša Njegomir (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
55th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Federico Lami (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Round 5: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christos Kontzoglou (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lukasz Ziemba (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Roy Sammour (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
60th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastiano Zagatti (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adrien Krifa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Valentino Odorjan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastian Linn (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nikos Tavoulareas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs piero scheriani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alessandro Brogi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Adam Tuček (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 80:20
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alvaro Francisco Toledano Benito (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Grégory Lefebvre (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Björn DHOOGHE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 80:20
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexandros Argyriou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
12%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Davide Ricci (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrik Koller (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tommaso Fabbri (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marko Leben (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Giannis Koumidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marco Nogarole (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Win vs Alex Kondov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lewis Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gary White (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Francesco Zampieri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Loss vs Björn DHOOGHE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alessio Viola (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 73:27
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michal Cwik (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Giuseppe Cervone (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
Round 7: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Iason Kouvakas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adrian Słowiński (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
95:5
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Pietro Motta (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 96:4
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nathanaël frederic (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 95% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marek Fila (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nikos Tavoulareas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alessandro Brogi (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Xavier Mudry (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76
Round 6: Loss vs Lorenzo Latino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrycjusz Janas (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michał Rzepczyński (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charlie Fahey (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Smith (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matteo Lista (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs George Melissakis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Win vs David Bettoli (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matteo Frescucci (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alessio Viola (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Wachouschek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Round 7: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kugane Gaming (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Buoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vasil Boev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Win vs Takis Pavlou (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aurelien Souchet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matteo Lista (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Loss vs Julian Cappallo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
95:5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 96:4
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ivaylo Ivanov (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 95% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mert Gezgin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Diogo Vala (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
95:5
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Davide Brigida (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 96:4
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 95% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Edoardo La Rosa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Walter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
95:5
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sotiris Konstantelos (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 96:4
Round 4: Loss vs Michal Cwik (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Florian Traversaz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Valentino Odorjan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 95% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs KONSTANTINOS STERGIOU (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tommaso Fabbri (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul Crame (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
95:5
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 96:4
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Capsalis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Łukasz Gryziewicz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 95% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Loss vs Nikos Tavoulareas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alessandro Sgura (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 80:20
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Freddy Friedrich (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Massimiliano Messina (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michał Biereg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Crame (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Flavio Caoduro (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
95:5
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 96:4
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 95% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Davide Cimmino (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Žan Baumgartner (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nikos Evgenidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.