Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Davide Cimmino (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Win vs Giacomo Mosca (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nikos Evgenidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.