Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at Calling: Bologna 2025

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

56th • 7-5-0

67%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

5.5

Surp

2.8

Diff

Kano, Dracai of Aether

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Samuel Mudry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stephen Berlyant (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alessandro Tassini (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Katsu, the Wanderer

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Björn DHOOGHE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs John Kitsos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Nuu, Alluring Desire

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Adrien Krifa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

25:75

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Daniele Bigagli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.18
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.44
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R7	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.66
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.40
R12	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Theofilos Papadopoulos

dropped • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Bettoli (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 40:60

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Adrián Marín (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 40:60

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Stephen Berlyant (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tiziano Biagetti (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 40:60

Dash I/O

15:85

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Gabriele Giacomelli (Dash I/O) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.06
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.53
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	CC	Dash I/O	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Tudor Diaconescu

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.7

Diff

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Raffaele Verdiani (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Florian Schmidt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chang Li (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45

Puffin, Hightail

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pietro Motta (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Marco Nogarole (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76

Jarl Vetreiði

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.13
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

Kano, Dracai of Aether

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bottino Valerio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Aurelien Souchet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Giacomo Mosca (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.64
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.