Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 9-3-0
25%
Meta
+4.2
Perf
6.1
Surp
5.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florian Schmidt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Felix Krisch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Harle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Marko Leben (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 10: Win vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (3/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Giorgos Dailianis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Diogo Vala (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Brian Fusciani (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Florian Traversaz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs George Chew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marc Germond (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Edoardo Galli (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Kondov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 29:71
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pietro Motta (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 14:86
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Davide Brigida (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.