Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Calling: Bologna 2025
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+3.9
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florian Schmidt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Felix Krisch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Harle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Marko Leben (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 10: Win vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Giorgos Dailianis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Diogo Vala (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brian Fusciani (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Florian Traversaz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs George Chew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marc Germond (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Edoardo Galli (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Kondov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pietro Motta (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Davide Brigida (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.