Prism, Awakener of Sol at Calling: Bologna 2025
Prism, Awakener of Sol
27 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
46%
Meta
+4.0
Perf
6.5
Surp
6.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonny Chapman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marcel Harz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 8: Win vs Felix Krisch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Daniele Coppola (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Round 10: Win vs Léo Baty (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
6.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 25% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
17th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bottino Valerio (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brent Van de Staey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Viet Pham (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Federico Lami (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nikos Evgenidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Correas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Francesco Motta (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
Round 10: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Giannis Koumidis (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
85:15
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
26th • 8-4-0
92%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tomasz Zalejski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michele Maietta (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Francesco Motta (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
Round 6: Loss vs piero scheriani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Lubos Vanicek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Roy Sammour (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
36th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Win vs Marc Germond (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stefania Patsou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Charlie Fahey (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
Round 6: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Maniša Njegomir (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Federico Lami (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
Round 9: Loss vs George Rodger (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 11: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Adam Tuček (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
38th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Fichtner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs filippo pirazzoli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Liam Holden (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
Round 9: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Marvin Heusinger (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Adrien Krifa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
59th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Buoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Win vs Arianna Rinaldi (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Michał Zalejski (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Valerio Colonna (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan YUSTE (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Flavio Dollani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs None ()
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
Round 10: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Daniel Li (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R8 | 50% | Win | |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-7-0
44%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lukasz Ziemba (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nico Schleier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tudor Diaconescu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Boris Melnykov (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Cavazzini (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrea Albani (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Demetrio Bori (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simone Pirota (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Giuseppe Cervone (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Grégory Lefebvre (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nico Schleier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Mario Donoso (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Draw |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maniša Njegomir (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jan-Hendrik Brinkforth (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tilen Blazinšek (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Liam Holden (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexandros Argyriou (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jorge Jimenez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Zugna (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Florian Schmidt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Steiger (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stefano Galli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Cagle (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Loss vs Szabolcs Egri (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Boris Melnykov (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ferdinand Wenke (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isidoros Popovits (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takis Pavlou (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Martin Holík (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 85:15
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Crame (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrea Albani (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrea Ceschin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Łukasz Gryziewicz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrea Milaneschi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Thourgood (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Prull (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Flavio Dollani (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Boris Melnykov (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Loss vs Nicolò Valenzano (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Morris Prem (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pietro Motta (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60
Round 6: Win vs Davide Brigida (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Viet Pham (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Edoardo Galli (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Tuček (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aurelien Souchet (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Panagiotis Xanthopoulos (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christian Fichtner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paweł Romanowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Viet Pham (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Xavier Mudry (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Francesco Buoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Giuseppe Cervone (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Massimiliano Messina (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simone Rainaldi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Roberto Andreocci (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64
Round 7: Win vs Edoardo La Rosa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Thourgood (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs KONSTANTINOS STERGIOU (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gabriele Panichi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Valerio Colonna (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Li (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Davide Ierardi (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Niedzielec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Wojciech Arendt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Bettoli (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Demetrio Bori (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Vasil Popov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 7: Loss vs Michał Biereg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Theofilos Papadopoulos (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 26:74
Round 2: Loss vs Stefano Galli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Morris Prem (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pierfrancesco Di Giuseppe (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gabriele Panichi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gaia Bormida (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Enrico Collini (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Romain TRAVERSAZ (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matteo Brunori (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Simone Rainaldi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrea Albani (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Michal Cwik (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marc Germond (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gints Dreimanis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sebastian Niedzielec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Cagle (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wojciech Arendt (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pierfrancesco Di Giuseppe (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Round 5: Win vs Davide Brigida (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sergio Amigo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Milaneschi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bota Claudiu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vasil Boev (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.