Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Bologna 2025
Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 27:73
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paolo D’Innocenzo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tore Eskeland (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs "Lello" Alessandro Stefanelli (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Andreas Capsalis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 70:30
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Andrea Nicastro (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 70:30
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Marko Leben (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.