Calling: Bologna 2025 - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Andrea Caregnato

dropped • 3-4-0

14%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Davide Brigida (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs George Rodger (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs filippo pirazzoli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Brian Fusciani (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Marcello Mutalipassi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	25%	Win	✗	0.77	0.60
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.97
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.16
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Eugene C

dropped • 2-5-0

14%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jakub Mares (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ivaylo Ivanov (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Prull (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michał Rzepczyński (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.39
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.82
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Erik Baalhuis

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Xiaoliang Yang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pietro Motta (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Francesco Fiumanò (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 37:63

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tilen Blazinšek (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	25%	Win	✗	0.77	0.84
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.69
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.