Briar
81 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
12th • 8-2-0
80%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Logan Renehan (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Wells (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Faciane (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Taotao Chu (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs David Bruner (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Charlie Manning (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Jeremy Stowe (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Lewis Foulkes (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
90:10
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Dorinthea) - Expected: 90:10
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea | 90% | Win |
18th • 7-3-0
70%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Celina Zhang (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs David Sarraf (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
40:60
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs ANDREW WEBBER (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Joseph Tang (Rhinar) - Expected: 82:18
45:55
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs David Bruner (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar | 80% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio | 50% | Loss |
22nd • 7-3-0
70%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Rawlings (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs David Lewis (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Raheel Khalid (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Allen Grube (Fai) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
Round 7: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
80:20
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Marit Franks (Rhinar) - Expected: 82:18
45:55
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Xavier Elizondo (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar | 80% | Win |
| R9 | Enigma | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
28th • 7-3-0
70%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Perez (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Galleran (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
40:60
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
15:85
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Mike Buttazzoni (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
50:50
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Win vs Justin Cu (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio | 50% | Win |
31st • 7-3-0
100%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
90:10
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Brishen Jaimes (Dorinthea) - Expected: 90:10
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Platt (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Caleb Jansen (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Richards (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Justin Cu (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Chane) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Patrick R (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Win vs Owen Young (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (10/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Chane | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Briar | 50% | Win |
35th • 7-3-0
70%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.1
Surp
5.9
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Jennifer Hickman (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Gordon Schafer (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Bernard Eng (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Lewis Foulkes (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
15:85
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Mike Buttazzoni (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
50:50
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Jeremy Stowe (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
Round 10: Win vs Corwin Benton (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Berserker Runt | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R9 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oldhim | 15% | Win |
47th • 6-4-0
70%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.9
Surp
4.2
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Mike Williams (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Marco Gomez (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs nathan lapham (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Alan Willenbring (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
Round 6: Win vs O'Ryan Hampton (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Laurens Van der Beek (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Loss vs Lewis Foulkes (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim | 15% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
50th • 6-4-0
60%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Philip Luzod (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Charlie Manning (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Long (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Jonathan Bollier (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Owen Young (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 10: Win vs Kit Valentine (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim | 15% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Oldhim | 15% | Win |
dropped • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Renz (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Laurens Van der Beek (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Luis Maderas (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Sean Cowan (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Win vs Gui Cohen (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Patrick R (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Jonah Markham (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
15:85
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
Round 9: Loss vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Ivory Moore (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Ben Yoo (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Win vs Justin Irby (Lexi) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Jack Sayer (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Nova Chan (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
15:85
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
15:85
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R9 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.6
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Jeremiah Hartsock (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Fai) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Ng (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Win vs Mark Taylor (Lexi) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi | 35% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Bernard Eng (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Iannacone (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Tyruss Sennett (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Anthony DeMeo (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
Round 6: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Diana Green (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs David Lewis (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Dan Mui (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Chris Sov (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
40:60
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Morgan Jensen (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Nicholas Kreitzburg (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Kyle Farrell (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Strong-arm | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
65:35
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Zamora (Fai) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Shane Cooper (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Chane) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Allen Grube (Fai) - Expected: 67:33
15:85
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
50:50
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Chane | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
65:35
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs gary grine (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Eli Barila (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Charlie Manning (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Lexi) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Jon Cardenas (Chane) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Garret Newbill (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Chane | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Kyle Oberst (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Mike Williams (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs David Sitrick (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Hanson (Fai) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Perez (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Allen Grube (Fai) - Expected: 67:33
R8
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Andre Thomas (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Spencer Astling (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Cody Broten (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
15:85
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Phil Hensley (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs James Koehler (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Chane) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Nathan Rivera (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Alex Lee (Fai) - Expected: 67:33
R8
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Carter Barton (Tuffnut) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Chane | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Tuffnut | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Gus Enger (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Varun Nambikrishnan (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Jamal Salem Saedidaryan (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs David Lewis (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
R5
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Andre Thomas (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R8
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Caleb Jansen (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Olympia | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Pleiades | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Camacho (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Suryan Bhatia (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Taylor (Lexi) - Expected: 35:65
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Ross Ellingworth (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Ryan McIntyre (Rhinar) - Expected: 82:18
35:65
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Tristan Schmidt (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Owen Keane (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
15:85
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Reid (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Philip Huang (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Parker Pemberton (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs John Reid (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
80:20
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Rhinar) - Expected: 82:18
R7
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Andre Thomas (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Corbin Coyle (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Vitanza (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Michael Dailey (Fai) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Austin Cannon (Florian) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Sayer (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Phillip Pelley (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Vinson (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Zach Ickes (Fai) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs David Sitrick (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Andy Bonny (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Devin Chen (Fai) - Expected: 67:33
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Carter Barton (Tuffnut) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Renz (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Deven Nilsson (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Jake Montalbano (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Robert Jones (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: 82:18
Round 6: Win vs Tristan Schmidt (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
80:20
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Ryan McIntyre (Rhinar) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Alan Willenbring (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
70:30
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Jon Cardenas (Chane) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Darren Knopes (Florian) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Chane | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Matt Sullivan (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
15:85
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
80:20
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Ryan McIntyre (Rhinar) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Raheel Khalid (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
15:85
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Raheel Khalid (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Kreitzburg (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Alex Lee (Fai) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Cassel (Fai) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Mike Williams (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Xavier Elizondo (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Jordan Long (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Lexi) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Wells (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Kyle Farrell (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Faciane (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Jack Sayer (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Jeremiah Hartsock (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Murgolo (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
90:10
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Dennis Pham (Dorinthea) - Expected: 90:10
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea | 90% | Win |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
35:65
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Scott Kennedy (Lexi) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Tim Hickman (Fai) - Expected: 67:33
15:85
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Cody Broten (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs William OBrien (Kassai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
15:85
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Luke Snyder (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Garret Newbill (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Farrell (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Gus Enger (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Padlesky (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Jessie Burke (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Jordan Long (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
15:85
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Justin Fryar (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Salvador Morales (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Zeni Ragsdale (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Scurv, Stowaway | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Becker (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Ronald Gonzalez (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Phelipe da Hora (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63
Round 5: Loss vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Cody Branom (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Minh Tran (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Trent Williams (Rhinar) - Expected: 82:18
35:65
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63
15:85
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Phil Hensley (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Aiden Coakley (Florian) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Bruce Xu (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Jake Montalbano (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Alexander (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
15:85
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Kit Valentine (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim | 15% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Bryce Miller-Booker (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Raheel Khalid (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Ulm (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Lewis Foulkes (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Draw vs Joseph Iannacone (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Olympia | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma | 45% | Draw |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Rivera (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Caleb Jansen (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
15:85
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Hanson (Fai) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Curtis Cooper (Unknown)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Mike Buttazzoni (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Holly Stowe (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Carden (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Darren Knopes (Florian) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Spencer Astling (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Gus Enger (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
15:85
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Winther (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Xavier Elizondo (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Win vs Evan Reid (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Julio Adame (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim | 15% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
80:20
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Tony Nguyen (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs David Bruner (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Alvin Kim (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Isaac Chall (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Violet Dold (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda Brightaxe | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Kenjy Jap (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
15:85
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Farrell (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Unknown)
60:40
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Darren Knopes (Florian) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Gripkey (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs ANDREW WEBBER (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Xavier Elizondo (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Joe Ellis (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Ronald Gonzalez (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Hunter Apple (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Terry (Fai) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Armando Aguilar (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Terrence Blackwell (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Owen Young (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
15:85
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Snyder (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Unknown)
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Justin Shaffer (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Celina Zhang (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Eduardo mauricio Gonzalez abrego (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Win vs Ron Bello (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim | 15% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Kathryn Aulabaugh (Fai) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Porter Boroski (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Barrett Goss (Florian) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Kesean Edwards (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
3.5
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick R (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs joey lau (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Ricardo Villanueva (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Ron Bello (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim | 15% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Charlie Manning (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Ben Yoo (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Botchis (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Danton Lima (Dash) - Expected: 61:39
15:85
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Kit Valentine (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Botchis (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Philip Huang (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Raymond (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Jennifer Hickman (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Holmes (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Berserker Runt | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander | 35% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
90:10
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas DeStasio (Dorinthea) - Expected: 90:10
15:85
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dash) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Sean Glancy (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Celina Zhang (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Deven Nilsson (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.1
Diff
80:20
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Libman (Rhinar) - Expected: 82:18
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Bollier (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs David McCartney (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Tagg (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Owen Keane (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Darren Knopes (Florian) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Fai) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Vinson (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Dan Mui (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Garret Newbill (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Alan Willenbring (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Uramoto (Dash) - Expected: 61:39
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Ashlyn Slattery (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Scurv, Stowaway | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Tavres (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Phelipe da Hora (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Irby (Lexi) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Arya DeMeo (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Mariusz Korlacki (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Justin Whitcomb (Riptide) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony DeMeo (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
15:85
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Winther (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Matthew W (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Oliver Taylor (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs John Zapata (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
35:65
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Antonio Otero (Iyslander) - Expected: 37:63
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
35:65
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Natasha Yocum (Lexi) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
0.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Mariusz Korlacki (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 41:59
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Jay Ward (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (0.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
65:35
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs David Wagoner (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Perez (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Negrillo (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Min Kang (Zyggy) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Padlesky (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Christina Lara (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Loss vs Marit Franks (Rhinar) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Kyle Gamboa (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
0.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
15:85
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Oldhim) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (0.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Robert Jones (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jon Steelsmith (Boltyn) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Boltyn | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Minh Tran (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Cooper Templeton (Dromai) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Raea Mitchell (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.