Azalea at Sunday Showdown: Las Vegas 2026

Azalea

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Andre Thomas

41st • 6-4-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

5.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Allen Grube (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Tristan Schmidt (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Brandon Phan (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Blaine Pascu (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs David McCartney (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R10

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Joseph Tang (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (10/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.30
R4	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R9	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jessica Jensen

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Branden Adams (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Hunter Apple (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Leavitt (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andy Bonny

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs David Lewis (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tyruss Sennett (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michael Shen

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Iannacone (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.