Sunday Showdown: Las Vegas 2026 - Blaze, Firemind (SAGE)

Blaze, Firemind

52 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Warre Sevens

5th • 9-2-0

45%

Meta

+4.0

Perf

5.1

Surp

5.4

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Irby (Lexi) - Expected: 25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kiran Lee (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Austin Cannon (Florian) - Expected: 80:20

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Oscilio) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

45% (5/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.1 total deviation

Difficulty

5.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Florian	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.12
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.53
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.69
R8	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.71
R9	Silver Age	Oscilio	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.40
R10	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.86
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Nova Chan

5th • 8-3-0

36%

Meta

+3.9

Perf

5.0

Surp

4.7

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jazz Larsen (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Matt Sullivan (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jude Cornett (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Andrew Padlesky (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

10:90

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Jonah Markham (Enigma) - Expected: 10:90

10:90

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs David Bruner (Enigma) - Expected: 10:90

Meta Fit

36% (4/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.30
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.39
R5	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.45
R6	Silver Age	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.55
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.62
R8	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.69
R9	Silver Age	Oscilio	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.40
R10	Silver Age	Enigma	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R11	Silver Age	Enigma	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-

Matt Sullivan

59th • 4-6-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

4.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs William Warnek (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Sascha Mueller-brown (Kavdaen, Trader of Skins) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Raymond (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Owen Keane (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Nova Chan (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

10:90

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs May Hayden (Enigma) - Expected: 10:90

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Benjamin Klunpaitoon (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs John Reid (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Zach Ickes (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

80% (8/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Kavdaen, Trader of Skins	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.30
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R8	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.76
R9	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R10	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Jeremy Stowe

dropped • 5-4-0

56%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.6

Surp

2.9

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jeffrey Reynolds (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jon Steelsmith (Boltyn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Allen Grube (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tyler Winther (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Elaine Cao (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Oscilio) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Patrick R (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

10:90

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Xavier Elizondo (Enigma) - Expected: 10:90

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

56% (5/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Boltyn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.72
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.68
R6	Silver Age	Oscilio	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.14
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Silver Age	Enigma	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R9	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Owen Keane

dropped • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs John Houder (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Rachel Stoddard (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Matt Sullivan (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs John Milner (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62

20:80

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Cumming (Dash) - Expected: 18:82

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Nathan Rivera (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.13
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Silver Age	Oscilio	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.67
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Silver Age	Dash	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Porter Boroski

dropped • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.5

Diff

20:80

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

30:70

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Luke Snyder (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	20%	Win	✗	0.78	0.28
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R5	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R7	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Jonathan Bollier

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jay Ward (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

10:90

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Enigma) - Expected: 10:90

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Parker Pemberton (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tracy Reeves (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Celina Zhang (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Phil Hensley (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Verdance	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.87
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Matthew Rawlings

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs David Vargas (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Julius Gante (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

20:80

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan McIntyre (Rhinar) - Expected: 22:78

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Kiran Lee (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Suryan Bhatia (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

80:20

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Darren Knopes (Florian) - Expected: 80:20

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Rhinar	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.70
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.77
R6	Silver Age	Florian	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.28
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Naib Mobassir

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Kreitzburg (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Terry (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Anthony Camacho (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Mark Taylor (Lexi) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jack Sayer (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Mike Buttazzoni (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.56
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.83
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Alexander Hempelmann

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Alexander (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Arya DeMeo (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Austin Hamilton (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Darren Knopes (Florian) - Expected: 80:20

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Lexi) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R4	Silver Age	Florian	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.21
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Silver Age	Lexi	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Anthony DeMeo

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.1

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Nick Soini (Florian) - Expected: 80:20

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs John Milner (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

10:90

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jonah Markham (Enigma) - Expected: 10:90

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Mike Buttazzoni (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.05
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.69
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Matheo Franchot

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.1

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Nick Soini (Florian) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Marco Gomez (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jon Steelsmith (Boltyn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Carter Barton (Tuffnut) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

10:90

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Enigma) - Expected: 10:90

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.61
R4	Silver Age	Boltyn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Tuffnut	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-

Violet Dold

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kenjy Jap (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Justin Shaffer (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs David Lewis (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.41
R3	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.81
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Stephen Cookus

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Wayne Lee (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs John Milner (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jose Badillo (Florian) - Expected: 80:20

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Bryce Miller-Booker (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Chuck Ford (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.21
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Matthew Colter

dropped • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Joshua DeHaan (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Alexander (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs jaime bessett (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Dennis Pham (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Henry Gomez (Oscilio) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Oscilio	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Raheel Khalid

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Aron Johnson (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Richards (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Nathan Vargas (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs David Vargas (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs William Warnek (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.19
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R3	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Adam Leavitt

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

20:80

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Tang (Rhinar) - Expected: 22:78

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Salvador Morales (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

20:80

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Uramoto (Dash) - Expected: 18:82

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jessica Jensen (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Silver Age	Dash	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Drew Carrick

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Miguel Torres (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jon Cardenas (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs John Reid (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tyler Smith (Lexi) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.19
R2	Silver Age	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Silver Age	Lexi	25%	Win	✗	0.75	1.60
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Jon Gibson

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Raphael Rosa (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Oscilio) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Michael Dailey (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Casey Schaffer (Oscilio) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Mike Buttazzoni (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.57
R4	Silver Age	Oscilio	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Mike Williams

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Owen Young (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Chris Sov (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Carlo Cuenca (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Aron Johnson (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.19
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Jacob Bader

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Kaden Grace (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Brandon Lenshyn (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Phil Hensley (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.03
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

James Wray

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Smith (Lexi) - Expected: 25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas DeStasio (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Brandon Ortiz (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Zach Ickes (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.03
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Jonah Overholt

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jennifer Hickman (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs O'Ryan Hampton (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.22
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Kaden Grace

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Sean Glancy (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jonny Espejo (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Mark Taylor (Lexi) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Lexi	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Nicholas Tagg

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Rachel Stoddard (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Drew Santos (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Savinien Castel (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Natasha Yocum (Lexi) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.81
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Lexi	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Robert Szary

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Han Vi (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Michael-Paul Johnson (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs John Kim (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	Silver Age	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Tyler Zeringue

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Natasha Yocum (Lexi) - Expected: 25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Chu (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Justin Cu (Oscilio) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs John Milner (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Oscilio	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.29
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Adam Fronsee

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Ulm (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Christopher Gripkey (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

10:90

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Iannacone (Enigma) - Expected: 10:90

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-

Bryce Douglas

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Michael Dailey (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Cu (Oscilio) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.24
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Oscilio	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Gordon Schafer

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Christian Vitanza (Oscilio) - Expected: 30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ricardo Villanueva (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

10:90

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Xavier Elizondo (Enigma) - Expected: 10:90

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-

Isaac Chall

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Vargas (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Brooks Mitchell (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Justin Whitcomb (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Shaffer (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Jonathan Raymond

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.5

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs William OBrien (Kassai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Matt Sullivan (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Suryan Bhatia (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Silver Age	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Michael-Paul Johnson

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Grant Strom (Unknown)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Robert Szary (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Hartman (Rhinar) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Natanael Eguren

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Gripkey (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ricardo Villanueva (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Wayne Lee

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Stephen Cookus (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Unknown)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Andrew Clayton (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.95

Aleksandar Bjelic

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.9

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jose Badillo (Florian) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Holmes (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Henry Gomez (Oscilio) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.92
R3	Silver Age	Oscilio	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Jonny Espejo

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Oldhim) - Expected: 32:68

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kaden Grace (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.46
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Philip Huang

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs David McCartney (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.65
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Raphael Rosa

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Corbin Coyle (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

10:90

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Enigma) - Expected: 10:90

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.81
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-

Savinien Castel

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs David Lewis (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ivory Moore (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Tagg (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.65
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

jaime bessett

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

10:90

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Enigma) - Expected: 10:90

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Taiga Maeda (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Colter (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R2	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

joey lau

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.6

Diff

20:80

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Rhinar) - Expected: 22:78

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Logan Renehan (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Hanson (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.65
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Christopher Gripkey

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Zeni Ragsdale (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Natanael Eguren (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Eduardo mauricio Gonzalez abrego

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Faciane (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Bernard Eng (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tristan Schmidt (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Sean Glancy

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs David Sarraf (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kaden Grace (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Aaron Lara

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs John Reid (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Kevin Mai

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Austin Sanders (Zyggy) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

20:80

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Watkins (Dash) - Expected: 18:82

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Zyggy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dash	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-

Raea Mitchell

dropped • 1-0-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tizzy Yovanno (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Arnel Gancenia

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.2

Perf

0.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash) - Expected: 18:82

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (0.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-

Austin Yovanno

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jon Cardenas (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jessie Burke

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Julio Adame (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Mac Caldwell

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Chris Donati (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.