Sunday Showdown: Las Vegas 2026 - Chane (SAGE)

Chane

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kevin Brayer

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs François Corneau-Tremblay (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Briar) - Expected: 29:71

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs laureline kammeyer (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Perez (Briar) - Expected: 29:71

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Caleb Jansen (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Hanson (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Dante Irvine (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

30:70

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Lewis Foulkes (Briar) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Jude Cornett

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Timothy Klundt (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Chuck Ford (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Davis Owen (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Nova Chan (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs David Lewis (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Rob Catton

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Carden (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Luke Snyder (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kit Valentine (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Allen Grube (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs John Kim (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Hunter Apple (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Mark Taylor (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jon Cardenas

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Austin Yovanno (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Drew Carrick (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Terrence Blackwell (Briar) - Expected: 29:71

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Briar) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Brooks Mitchell

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Isaac Chall (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Carlo Cuenca (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Han Vi

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Mitch Miller (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Robert Szary (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.