Sunday Showdown: Las Vegas 2026 - Dash (SAGE)

Dash

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Benjamin Cumming

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Marit Franks (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Vinson (Dromai) - Expected: 36:64

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Deven Nilsson (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Nathan Vargas (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Justin Cu (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

80:20

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Owen Keane (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 82:18

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Darren Knopes (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.25
R8	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joshua Lau

dropped • 2-6-0

38%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs William OBrien (Kassai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

0:100

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Oldhim) - Expected: 0:100

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Kreitzburg (Dromai) - Expected: 36:64

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Austin Hamilton (Briar) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

0:100

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Hunter Apple (Oldhim) - Expected: 0:100

0:100

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Kindberg (Oldhim) - Expected: 0:100

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Mariusz Korlacki (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Ryan McIntyre (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

laureline kammeyer

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Bryce Erickson (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Blaine Pascu (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Varun Nambikrishnan (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Tristan Schmidt (Iyslander) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Andrew Watkins

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Peyton Gage (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Kevin Mai (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 82:18

0:100

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Luke Snyder (Oldhim) - Expected: 0:100

0:100

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs O'Ryan Hampton (Oldhim) - Expected: 0:100

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-

Brendon Duran

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.5

Diff

0:100

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 0:100

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Clayton (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Austin Cannon (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs William OBrien (Kassai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christopher Uramoto

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tracy Reeves (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Armando Aguilar (Briar) - Expected: 39:61

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Adam Leavitt (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 82:18

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.29

Connor Bryant

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.1

Diff

80:20

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Arnel Gancenia (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 82:18

0:100

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Oldhim) - Expected: 0:100

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Briar) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Danton Lima

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Albert Irvine (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Ronit Patel (Briar) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Sarah Yarberry

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Cu (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.