Iyslander at Sunday Showdown: Las Vegas 2026

Iyslander

14 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Evan Bridges

23rd • 7-3-0

80%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.3

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Philip Huang (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Michael-Paul Johnson (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 62:38

10:90

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs David Bruner (Enigma) - Expected: 10:90

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Violet Dold (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Laurens Van der Beek (Briar) - Expected: 63:37

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Wesley Dong (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Morgan Jensen (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 69:31

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Elaine Cao (Dromai) - Expected: 58:42

25:75

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Oldhim) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

80% (8/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.28
R5	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.34
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.32
R7	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.42
R9	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.71
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Dyllon Dietz

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Adam Heilbronn (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Kiran Lee (Dromai) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Oliver Taylor (Briar) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Christian Vitanza (Oscilio) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai) - Expected: 40:60

10:90

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs David Bruner (Enigma) - Expected: 10:90

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.26
R4	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.34
R5	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R8	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gui Cohen

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Nova Chan (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 62:38

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Tracy Reeves (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jake Montalbano (Briar) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Charlie Manning (Briar) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

10:90

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs David Bruner (Enigma) - Expected: 10:90

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Kesean Edwards (Briar) - Expected: 63:37

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Dromai) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.34
R5	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.59
R8	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

John Milner

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs John Kim (Fai) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Stephen Cookus (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony DeMeo (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Oscilio) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Owen Keane (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 62:38

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Natasha Yocum (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.19
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.60
R7	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tristan Schmidt

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Katie O'Neil (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Andre Thomas (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Eduardo mauricio Gonzalez abrego (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 62:38

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Evan Reid (Oldhim) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs laureline kammeyer (Dash) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ronald Gonzalez (Briar) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Nathan Rivera (Briar) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.30
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.19
R5	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.94
R6	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.67

Brandon Ortiz

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Davis Owen (Dromai) - Expected: 58:42

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Dylan Brown (Betsy) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs James Wray (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	Silver Age	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Silver Age	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andrew Holmes

dropped • 0-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

10:90

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs May Hayden (Enigma) - Expected: 10:90

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Aleksandar Bjelic (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Devin Chen (Fai) - Expected: 40:60

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Arya DeMeo (Briar) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Nathaniel Lansangan

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Briar) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Erickson (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs David McCartney (Briar) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Sascha Mueller-brown (Kavdaen, Trader of Skins) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	Silver Age	Kavdaen, Trader of Skins	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

John Zapata

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Branden Adams (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Minh Tran (Briar) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.67

Brandon Lenshyn

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Phil Hensley (Oldhim) - Expected: 24:76

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs gary grine (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Ian Eshelman

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Mark Taylor (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Justin Salmon (Dromai) - Expected: 58:42

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Nick Soini (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.52
R3	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Antonio Otero

dropped • 1-0-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Briar) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (0.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.67

Andrew Wilborn

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jonny Espejo (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Charlie Herren

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Gene Nguyen (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.