Sunday Showdown: Las Vegas 2026 - Lyath Goldmane (SAGE)

Lyath Goldmane

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jacob Tavres

dropped • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.7

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Bruce Xu (Briar) - Expected: 33:67

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Zach Ickes (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Carden (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Mary Stevens (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Albert Irvine (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Kathryn Aulabaugh (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Spencer Astling

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.4

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Briar) - Expected: 33:67

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Grant Strom (Unknown)

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Eli Barila (Briar) - Expected: 33:67

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Chuck Ford (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Wagoner

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Shane Cooper (Briar) - Expected: 33:67

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs William OBrien (Kassai) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jonathan Chu

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tyruss Sennett (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

gary grine

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Briar) - Expected: 33:67

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Lenshyn (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Trevor Valentine

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.