Sunday Showdown: Las Vegas 2026 - Dorinthea (SAGE)

Dorinthea

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Eric Pettinelli

21st • 7-3-0

90%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

4.6

Surp

3.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Natanael Eguren (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Chris Donati (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Porter Boroski (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Peyton Gage (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jude Cornett (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs John Kim (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Joseph Tang (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Brandon Stolzer (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

10:90

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Patrick R (Briar) - Expected: 10:90

Meta Fit

90% (9/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.90
R10	Silver Age	Briar	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-

Tracy Reeves

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Christopher Uramoto (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jon Steelsmith (Boltyn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Bollier (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ryan McIntyre (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Natasha Yocum (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs John Reid (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Boltyn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nicholas DeStasio

dropped • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.5

Diff

10:90

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Austin Hamilton (Briar) - Expected: 10:90

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs James Wray (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Klunpaitoon (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Carter Barton (Tuffnut) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Alex Lee (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Cassel (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Tuffnut	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dennis Pham

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs John Kim (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Joseph Schelling (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Galleran (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Colter (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

10:90

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Garret Newbill (Briar) - Expected: 10:90

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-

Brishen Jaimes

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

10:90

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Lewis Foulkes (Briar) - Expected: 10:90

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Dominic Perez (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs François Corneau-Tremblay (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ben Platt (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Katie O'Neil

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tristan Schmidt (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Mitch Miller (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs François Corneau-Tremblay (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joshua DeHaan

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Colter (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.