Sunday Showdown: Las Vegas 2026 - Valda Brightaxe (SAGE)

Valda Brightaxe

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Erik Taylor

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs nathan lapham (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Hadley (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andy Brown

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Seth Comstock (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs François Corneau-Tremblay (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Tony Nguyen

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.2

Perf

0.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Shaffer (Briar) - Expected: 21:79

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (0.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.