Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
32 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
15th • 9-3-0
25%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.3
Surp
5.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs hideto takagi (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
Round 3: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 圭資 山村 (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 76:24
Round 5: Win vs ryo inoue (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yoshihiko Kato (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
90:10
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tsunoda Shingo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs 優 大村 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 12: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (3/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
19th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
6.2
Surp
5.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs RYUTA NAKADA (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs LEE JUI-CHI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Oh Oh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs 一樹 日浦 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
Round 12: Win vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
22nd • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.7
Surp
5.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Atsushi Taichi (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs HyoungJun You (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryosuke Kono (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kanata Ishimaru (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Keita Arai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 9: Win vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 11: Win vs Yusuke Asama (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
24th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xu Zhenzhe (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daisuke Uto (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Round 4: Win vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryota Miyamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yuma Ishikura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nova Chan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
29th • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs hiromitsu nohara (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 一樹 日浦 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs ジミイ ヘンスウォース (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs EIKI SUGAI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Bryan Kong (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
48th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs EIKI SUGAI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Akira Inuma (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hiroaki Osawa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jumpei Nasu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lane Thomason (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Oh Oh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs ジミイ ヘンスウォース (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yu Cheng Lai (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs sungbin sim (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs John Wang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs ジミイ ヘンスウォース (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kazushi Nimiya (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ikumi Miyao (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rio Sakai (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Win vs ryo inoue (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Theo T. (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs shota kajiro (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rio Sakai (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 英 鈴木 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 雅貴 大場 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs EITARO SHIBATA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Theo T. (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Oh Oh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fumiya U (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 92:8
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Jamieson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Akira Inuma (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuto Mori (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Takuya iida (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mizuki Takei (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Tang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yoshihiko Kato (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs youngchan ju (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuji Tanaka (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Loss vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Satoshi Kawamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 7: Loss vs masaru okuda (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Koichiro Sato (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs HyoungJun You (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sho Nakahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs QING GUO (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs matoshi anthony Del mundo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 92:8
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Russell (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jakub Tepper (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryusei Tani (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs sungbin sim (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xu Zhenzhe (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Russell (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 雅貴 大場 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taiga Maeda (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kazushi Nimiya (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Koki Mori (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stephen Miller (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Win vs Munehiro Tada (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs kei kimura (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Keita Arai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 裕貴 藤盛 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daisuke Uto (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 大和 宮脇 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 7: Loss vs Yu Wei Wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs QING GUO (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 大和 宮脇 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 小谷 康斗 (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Panliang He (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Panliang He (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs RYUTA NAKADA (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rio Sakai (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lane Thomason (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eddy C (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ジョーン K (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Round 4: Loss vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Kazuki Sawabe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 佐藤 宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tomoyuki Yagura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuji Tanaka (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tetsuo Matsumura (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eddy C (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hiroshi Suzuki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 明久 髙橋 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs DAN DAN (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kazuya Mishima (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 92:8, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shohei Marubayashi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 司忠 甲地 (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jyunnosuke Yano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs ジョーン K (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 90% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ryotaro takashima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke VanGuilder (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 一平 近藤 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ChingHeng Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryo Kawasaki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Xu Zhenzhe (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xingyu ZHOU (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Loss vs Ryo Takashima (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs yohei ohki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tetsuo Matsumura (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryotarou Yamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs レオン 藤倉 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kanata Ishimaru (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kimura Akifumi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 憲佑 佐藤 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs OH Youngjin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.