Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 9-3-0
25%
Meta
+3.9
Perf
6.2
Surp
5.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lane Thomason (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Round 11: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
25% (3/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Takuya iida (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 聡 本田 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs suk kyo suh (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
Round 7: Win vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Round 9: Loss vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs kazushi asaoka (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jihoon Park (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yu Wei Wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs HyoungJun You (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs Ryotarou Yamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Round 4: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuji Tanaka (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Taiga Maeda (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
Round 7: Win vs kumagai takuya (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Draw |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Satoru Doumoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yuuya Okawa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs youngchan ju (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Cho (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mason Galvan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-2
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs naoki tsuji (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yoshiki Inada (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shoma Nakama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs hiromitsu nohara (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs KYOSUKE YAMAMOTO (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Draw |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 3-2-2
43%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tsunoda Shingo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Manuel Succari (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 聡 本田 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs 智行 内海 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs PANG CHEN (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Round 7: Win vs 真斗 瀬理 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Draw |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Keito Onose (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 坂上 俊輔 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oh Oh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Keita Arai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs yohei ohki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-1
43%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Louis Glenn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs hiromitsu nohara (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuki Takayasu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs kazushi asaoka (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daisuke Uto (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Draw |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
43%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kazushi Nimiya (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Louis Glenn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs kazushi asaoka (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kohaku Ishimaru (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Panu Avakul (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
Round 6: Win vs 裕貴 藤盛 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs ナオヤ タカハシ (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shogo Takayama (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs ryuto nakagawa (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ナオヤ タカハシ (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hiroki Itakura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eddy C (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke VanGuilder (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Manuel Succari (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maya Yagura (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yusuke Miki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Satoshi Kitazume (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
Round 2: Loss vs kei kimura (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Yuki Takayasu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 雄一 中島 (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sota Amitsu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Xu Zhenzhe (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.