Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fu Kah Deng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Herzner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs QING GUO (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sho Nakahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Dash I/O
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Fai, Rising Rebellion
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs kazushi asaoka (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
dropped 2-5-0
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Dash I/O
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Satoru Doumoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Jarl Vetreiði
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs So Yanagita (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryo Kawasaki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs RYUTA NAKADA (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs QING GUO (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
dropped 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryosuke Kono (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 雄一 中島 (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Debrian Figueroa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Fang, Dracai of Blades
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sota Amitsu (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
dropped 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs EITARO SHIBATA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tomoaki Yoshimura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Jarl Vetreiði
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nova Chan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Jarl Vetreiði
!
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 憲佑 佐藤 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 佑紀 丸田 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 54:46
dropped 2-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Wang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuki Takayasu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Koichiro Sato (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs LEE JUI-CHI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs RYUTA NAKADA (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
dropped 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs shota kajiro (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Dash I/O
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Melvin Chew (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs sungbin sim (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 47:53
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
dropped 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jyunnosuke Yano (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Fai, Rising Rebellion
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
Dorinthea Ironsong
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs YUKITOMO DAIKI (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67
Puffin, Hightail
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Manuel Succari (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 17:83
dropped 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jumpei Nasu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs kumagai takuya (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Fumiya U (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
dropped 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jun Sato (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Dash I/O
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shohei Marubayashi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 47:53

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.