Kassai of the Golden Sand
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 12-3-0
87%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 智行 内海 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bryan Kong (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yoshiki Inada (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mason Galvan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
87% (13/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (8.8 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
3rd • 11-3-0
79%
Meta
+3.8
Perf
6.5
Surp
4.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs 岡本 一朗 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs SOUICHI MIYABE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs shota kajiro (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Round 6: Win vs Yuma Ishikura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
79% (11/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
5th • 9-4-0
92%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nova Chan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Oh Oh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Masay Toda (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
92% (12/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
14th • 9-2-1
67%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs レオン 藤倉 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kazuya Nakata (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Win vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noriyuki Sugioka (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Canedy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nova Chan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Draw vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Draw |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
13th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.1
Surp
4.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kousaku Nishi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 真斗 瀬理 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 圭資 山村 (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 75:25
Round 6: Win vs Takuro Hiraoka (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alex Jamieson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs 一樹 日浦 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs haruka sonoda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
17th • 9-3-0
100%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.9
Surp
3.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 章裕 森 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs kazushi asaoka (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
95:5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 94:6
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nova Chan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Round 10: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
100% (12/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (8.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 95% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
20th • 8-3-1
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bryan Kong (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31
Round 6: Win vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Fu Kah Deng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Draw vs Xiu Meng Yip (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Round 11: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 12: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Draw |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
35th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kazuya Mishima (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ユウキ テラダ (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryo Takashima (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Loss vs Jumpei Nasu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs John Wang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 高柳 賢一 (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Shoma Nakama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Round 12: Win vs Yuma Ishikura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yang-Chia Chang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 匠哉 小島 (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs masaru okuda (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Win vs HIROKI ASAUMI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tatsumiya genchi (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Draw |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacky Ho (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 直樹 多川 (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kimura Akifumi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs YUKITOMO DAIKI (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Takatoshi Sato (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs atsushi tsuchiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryotarou Yamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Round 4: Win vs 三輪 佑樹 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Koichiro Sato (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-2
57%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs So Yanagita (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Munehiro Tada (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Blaž Hrastnik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Yu Wei Wu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Draw |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Takahiro Motooka (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kurt Samson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Connor Leverton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Draw |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 拓弥 橋本 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hiroaki Sakuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Takuro Hiraoka (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
95:5
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 優太 高橋 (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 94:6
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 95% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-2
80%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 福島 健太郎 (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Ryo Shigeta (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs PANG CHEN (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs レオン 藤倉 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Draw |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.