Fai, Rising Rebellion
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
26th • 8-4-0
33%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs JUNG MOO SUNG (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Round 5: Win vs Debrian Figueroa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs TAITO SUZUKI (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Masaki Hamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs EIKI SUGAI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Samuel Cho (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
40th • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs 綸太 宇野 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Debrian Figueroa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Win vs 智行 内海 (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryotarou Yamada (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Shoma Nakama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Panliang He (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Alex Jamieson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
56th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs XINCHENG XIE (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 一樹 日浦 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Win vs Yoshiki Inada (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 佐藤 宗良 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nova Chan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs 優 大村 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Panliang He (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 12: Win vs Akira Inuma (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 康仁 三竹 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tomoaki Yoshimura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Win vs Ryo Kawasaki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 一平 近藤 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs suk kyo suh (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs RYUTA NAKADA (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs takamitsu maruyama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yuuya Okawa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs 明久 髙橋 (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryusei Tani (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kenichi Kataoka (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryuya Fukuda (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Shoya Yamashita (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yuji Tanaka (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 英 鈴木 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takuya iida (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Akira NAKAJIMA (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kazuya Mishima (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs atsushi tsuchiya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryota Miyamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryo Terakita (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuma Ishikura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Louis Glenn (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs TAITO SUZUKI (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Win vs Panu Avakul (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 福島 健太郎 (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs タカヤ スギモト (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs yinglin fu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eddy C (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maya Yagura (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Loss vs SUMETHA Udomkosonkit (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 三輪 佑樹 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tomoaki Yoshimura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs hideto takagi (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 章裕 森 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 卓也 金子 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sho Nakahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryota Miyamoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Blaž Hrastnik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Win vs Panu Avakul (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 永井 泰洋 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kazuki Sawabe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs kei kimura (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 優 大村 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tomoyuki Yagura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Win vs Melvin Chew (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.