Dorinthea Ironsong
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
52nd • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 永井 泰洋 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs yohei ohki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Atsushi Taichi (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jumpei Nasu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Law Wen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jack Tang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Rio Sakai (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs ジミイ ヘンスウォース (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-5-0
70%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs タカヤ スギモト (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sho Nakahara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Panliang He (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jackie wong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
Round 6: Win vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Hlaing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs kazushi asaoka (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hiroaki Suzuki (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Satoshi Kitazume (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Koki Mori (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Naoki Yasukawa (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Takamasa Kamei (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 康仁 三竹 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuma Ishikura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ikumi Miyao (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27
Round 6: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Harrison Callahan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 尚規 石坂 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs yinglin fu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs PANG CHEN (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Satoshi Kawamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Canedy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Win vs ryotaro takashima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shoma Nakama (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tomoaki Yoshimura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jihoon Park (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yang-Chia Chang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
Round 3: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs 英 鈴木 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kenichi Kataoka (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs juno choi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 大和 宮脇 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 守 山下 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Canedy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Panliang He (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryusei Tani (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Akira NAKAJIMA (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Russell (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.